Football (soccer) is the world's most popular sport, and the excitement of watching a game is amplified exponentially when you have a stake in the outcome. Football betting is incredibly popular due to the sport's global reach, the frequency of matches played daily, and the added layer of engagement it provides fans.
However, before you place your first wager, it is absolutely important to understand the basics—especially betting odds. This guide will walk you through the fundamental concepts needed to make your first smart, responsible bet.
What Are Betting Odds?
In football betting, odds are a way of expressing the probability of a certain outcome happening in a match. They also indicate how much money you can win relative to your stake.
In simple terms, betting odds are a representation of the payout you will receive if your bet wins.
Beyond just the payout, odds reflect the bookmaker’s assessment of the probability of a specific outcome occurring.
- Low Odds (e.g., 1.50): These imply a high probability that the event will happen. The payout is smaller because the perceived risk is low.
- High Odds (e.g., 5.00): These imply a low probability (an underdog) that the event will happen. The payout is much larger because the perceived risk is high.
Types of Odds Formats
You will encounter three primary formats for displaying odds, depending on where you are betting.
Decimal Odds
Popular in: Europe, Australia, Canada and Africa.
Format: A single number (e.g.,
Example: A $10 bet at
Fractional Odds
Common in: The United Kingdom and Ireland.
Format: A fraction (e.g.,
Example: Odds of
American (Moneyline) Odds
Used in: The United States.
Format: Positive (+) or negative (-) numbers (e.g.,
Positive Odds
Example:
Negative Odds
Example:
How to Read Football Odds
For beginners, the easiest format to use for calculating potential winnings is Decimal Odds.
The formula is:
Example Match Scenario: Let's look at a typical football match where Team A is the favorite and Team B is the underdog:
Outcome | Odds |
---|---|
Team A Win (1) | 1.80 |
Draw (X) | 3.60 |
Team B Win (2) | 4.50 |
If you place a $20 bet on Team A to Win at odds of
Your profit is the return minus your original stake:
If you place a $20 bet on Team B to Win at odds of
Your profit is
Common Football Bet Types
Once you understand the odds, you can explore the most common types of bets:
- Match Winner (1X2): The simplest bet. You wager on whether the Home team (1) wins, the match ends in a Draw (X), or the Away team (2) wins.
- Over/Under Goals: You bet on whether the total number of goals scored in the match will be over or under a specified line, usually set at
. - Both Teams to Score (BTTS): A popular and straightforward bet on whether both competing teams will score at least one goal during the 90 minutes (Yes or No).
- Accumulators (Parlays): This combines multiple individual bets (known as "legs") into one large wager. The high odds are tempting, but every single selection must win for the accumulator to pay out. If even one bet loses, the entire accumulator loses.
Basic Betting Strategies for Beginners
While luck plays a part, smart betting relies on disciplined strategies.
Bankroll Management
This is the most crucial step. Set a fixed budget (your "bankroll") dedicated purely to betting. Never risk more than
Avoiding Emotional Betting
Never bet on your favorite team simply because you want them to win, and never "chase" losses by betting impulsively to try and win back money you just lost. Stick to your research.
Importance of Research: Successful betting is based on data, not hunches. Analyze pre-match statistics:
Team Form: Check the last five to ten results. Are they winning consistently?
Injuries and Suspensions: Is a key striker or defender missing? This can drastically change the outcome.
Expected Goals (xG) Stats: This advanced metric measures the quality of scoring chances a team creates or concedes, giving you a better view of their underlying performance than just the final score.
Converting Odds to Implied Probability
Understanding implied probability helps you see the likelihood of an outcome based on the odds. This can help you compare odds from different bookmakers or decide whether a bet has value.
Decimal Odds:
Implied Probability (%) = 100 ÷ Decimal Odds
Example: Odds of 2.50 → 100 ÷ 2.50 = 40% chance
Fractional Odds:
Implied Probability (%) = Denominator ÷ (Numerator + Denominator) × 100
Example: Odds of 5/2 → 2 ÷ (5+2) × 100 = 28.57% chance
American Odds:
Positive odds: 100 ÷ (Odds + 100) × 100
Negative odds: -Odds ÷ (-Odds + 100) × 100
Example: +200 → 100 ÷ (200 + 100) × 100 = 33.33%
Example: -150 → 150 ÷ (150 + 100) × 100 = 60%
Converting odds into implied probability helps you understand whether a bet is worth taking compared to your own assessment of the match.
Risks and Responsible Betting
Football betting should be treated as entertainment, not a guaranteed way to make money. Always set limits on your spending, take breaks if needed, and avoid risky behavior. Responsible betting helps keep the experience enjoyable and reduces the risk of financial problems.
Betting carries inherent risks, and losing money is a normal part of the process. To ensure it remains fun and safe, you must set strict financial and time limits and stick to them—no matter what. If you are no longer enjoying the process, or if you find yourself betting money you cannot afford to lose, it's time to take a break.
Conclusion: Understand Betting Odds
By understanding the difference between Decimal, Fractional, and American odds, knowing how to calculate potential returns, and utilizing basic research tools like team form and xG statistics, you are now equipped to place smarter, more informed bets. Remember that bankroll management and responsible betting practices are non-negotiable.
We encourage you to continue learning about advanced football statistics and team tactics. The more you understand the game, the better your chances will be. Good luck!