Burnley vs Leeds United Prediction & Stats - October 18, 2025

Burnley vs Leeds United prediction & h2h stats for Oct 18, 2025. Full match preview, team form, key players, xGoal tips, correct score forecast and more.

Burnley

Time

10:00

Leeds United

29%

Home

28%

Draw

42%

Away

Winner	Leeds United
2.5 Under/Over	Under 2.5 Goals
BTTS	Yes

Standings Match Stats

Burnley vs Leeds United Match Stats and Predictions

Match Possible Outcome Percentage

Home to win

29%

Away to win

42%

Draw

28%

2.5 Over

47%

Both team to Score

53%

Correct Score Prediction and Match Analysis

Detailed season stats comparison, analysis, and predictions for Burnley FC vs Leeds United FC football match..

35%

Average Possession (%)

45%

Goals Conceded

0.91

1.28

2.06

xGA

1.3

14%

Clean Sheet (%)

29%

Shots on Target

AVG Scored/Match

2.14

AVG Conceded/Match

1.57

79.57

Attacks (AVG)

82.43

30.71

Dangerous Attacks (AVG)

Corners (AVG)

Cards (AVG)

2.86

9.86

Fouls Committed (AVG)

10.43

Expert Analysis

Burnley FC and Leeds United FC are evenly matched across stats, suggesting a competitive and balanced contest.

Small tactical adjustments or moments of skill could decide the outcome.

In the last 17 meetings between Burnley FC and Leeds United FC, 5 wins for Burnley FC, 8 wins for Leeds United FC, and 4 draws.

There is a 53% chance that both teams will score, indicating a strong likelihood of goals at both ends.

The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 47%, indicating a potentially low-scoring match.

Predicted Correct Score

Burnley FC (1 - 2) Leeds United FC

Team H2H Stats

Jan 27, 2025

Sep 14, 2024

Jan 02, 2022

Aug 29, 2021

May 15, 2021

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Match Goals

Probability

Over 0.5

94%

Over 1.5

59%

Over 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

24%

Over 4.5

Over 0.5 FH

50%

Over 1.5 FH

50%

Over 0.5 2H

67%

Over 1.5 2H

33%

Match Goals

Odds Probability

Under 0.5

11%

Under 1.5

32%

Under 2.5

57%

Under 3.5

82%

Under 4.5

98%

Under 0.5 FH

37%

Under 1.5 FH

74%

Under 0.5 2H

29%

Under 1.5 2H

64%

Burnley FC Stats Analysis Summary

Overall, Burnley FC’s England Premier League profile shows attack stats below expectation and a fragile defensive performance, with xG 0.91 for versus 2.06 against. Improving possession, set‑piece volume (3 corners per game), and reducing big chances conceded are clear priorities to shift results.

Monitor whether expected goals climbs above 1.0 xG and if the clean‑sheet rate improves beyond 14% as Burnley FC navigate the Premier League schedule. Track halves performance (0% scored both halves, 43% trailing at HT), plus possession and shots on target trends.

More Burnley FC Stats & Analysis